Match Info

Date: 27 September 2020, Sunday


	Chertanovo		Torpedo Moscow

	1	X	2
	6	3.5	1.53	Watch
	5.25	3.7	1.62
	5.5	3.6	1.5	Watch
	5.2	3.6	1.54
	6.31	4.05	1.55
	5.8	3.7	1.55	Watch
	5.8	3.95	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.69 ↓ (5.83)	3.73 ↓ (3.83)	1.55 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chertanovo
16.1%

Draw
24.7%

Torpedo Moscow
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.1%

24.5%

59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4%

20.4%

71.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Chertanovo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Torpedo Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chertanovo than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo Moscow than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Torpedo Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chertanovo - Torpedo Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Chertanovo has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Torpedo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chertanovo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Torpedo is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Chertanovo won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Chertanovo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Chertanovo
Russian FNL
23.09.20	Shinnik - Chertanovo	1:1 ✺
19.09.20	Chertanovo - Fakel	0:3 ✺
13.09.20	Volgar Astrakhan - Chertanovo	1:0 ✺
09.09.20	Chertanovo - Krylya Sovetov	0:1 ✺
05.09.20	Chertanovo - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLLL
- Torpedo Moscow
Russian FNL
23.09.20	Torpedo Moscow - Nizhny Novgorod	0:2 ✺
13.09.20	Torpedo Moscow - Orenburg	1:2 ✺
09.09.20	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Torpedo Moscow	1:2 ✺
05.09.20	SKA Khabarovsk - Torpedo Moscow	2:4 ✺
30.08.20	Veles Moscow - Torpedo Moscow	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
30.06.20	Torpedo Moscow - Chertanovo	3:2
Russian FNL
19.10.19	Torpedo Moscow - Chertanovo	0:1
Russian Cup
07.08.17	Torpedo Moscow - Chertanovo	1:2
Russian PFL Center
21.05.17	Chertanovo - Torpedo Moscow	1:0
20.07.16	Torpedo Moscow - Chertanovo	1:1
02.11.15	Chertanovo - Torpedo Moscow	1:1
11.08.15	Torpedo Moscow - Chertanovo	0:1

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