Match Info

FA Trophy - Qualification - Final

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Welling United		Chertsey Town

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.50	3.30
	1.9	3.6	3.35
	2.04	3.62	2.9
	1.92	3.98	3.36	Watch
	2.01	3.55	2.85
	1.94	3.77	3.46
	1.9	3.65	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.85)	3.67 ↓ (3.73)	3.22 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Welling United
46.9%

Draw
24.8%

Chertsey Town
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

24.4%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

23.8%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welling United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Chertsey Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chertsey Town than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Welling United - Chertsey Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
Penalties (4 - 5)

Preview

Welling is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Chertsey have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Welling could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Welling is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Welling United
English Isthmian League Premier Division
15.09.26	Welling United - Cheshunt	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Welling United - Wingate & Finchley	4:1 ✺
English FA Cup
05.09.26	Faversham Town - Welling United	1:1 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
31.08.26	Cray Wanderers - Welling United	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	Welling United - Ramsgate	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWTLW
- Chertsey Town
English Southern League South Division
22.09.26	Chichester City - Chertsey Town	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Chertsey Town - Malvern Town	5:0 ✺
English FA Cup
07.09.26	Carshalton Athletic - Chertsey Town	1:2 ✺
English Southern League South Division
31.08.26	Hanworth Villa - Chertsey Town	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	Chertsey Town - Frome Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWWLL

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