Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 26

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Chertsey Town		Tiverton Town

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.15	5.5
	1.49	4.51	5.66	Watch
	1.4	4.2	5.5
	1.54	4.66	4.92
	1.46	4.33	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.39)	4.37 ↓ (4.9)	5.45 ↓ (6.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chertsey Town
62.3%

Draw
20.9%

Tiverton Town
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

18.9%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9%

18%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chertsey Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Tiverton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chertsey Town than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chertsey Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiverton Town than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Chertsey Town - Tiverton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Jagger Cane L. ⚽,
6', 1 - 1, McCoy O. ⚽,
18', 1 - 2, Koita D. ⚽,
20', 2 - 2, Lee C. ⚽,
23', 3 - 2, Abisogun G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
71', 3 - 3, Swann T. (Penalty Awarded),
83', 4 - 3, Berry D. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Tiverton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Chertsey is the team to beat.

We predict that Chertsey will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chertsey won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Chertsey won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Chertsey	9	4	2	3	20:15	5	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chertsey Town
English Southern League South Division
03.01.26	Uxbridge - Chertsey Town	0:1 ✺
27.12.25	Chertsey Town - Walton & Hersham	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Berkhamsted - Chertsey Town	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Hungerford Town - Chertsey Town	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Chertsey Town - Weymouth	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLWWW
- Tiverton Town
English Southern League South Division
03.01.26	Tiverton Town - Taunton Town	2:1 ✺
27.12.25	Plymouth Parkway - Tiverton Town	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Farnham Town - Tiverton Town	5:0 ✺
25.11.25	Poole Town - Tiverton Town	5:5 ✺
22.11.25	Gosport Borough - Tiverton Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
09.08.25	Tiverton Town - Chertsey Town	0:2
28.12.24	Chertsey Town - Tiverton Town	2:2
17.08.24	Tiverton Town - Chertsey Town	2:3

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