Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 25

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday


	Tiverton Town		Taunton Town

	1	X	2
	4.05	3.8	1.65
	4.38	3.97	1.7	Watch
	4	3.7	1.67
	4.38	3.75	1.65
	4.5	3.66	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.26 ↑ (3.09)	3.78 ↓ (3.87)	1.67 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiverton Town
21.4%

Draw
24.1%

Taunton Town
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

24%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

23.9%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiverton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tiverton Town's form might have worsened.

Taunton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Taunton Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiverton Town than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tiverton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taunton Town than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Taunton Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tiverton Town - Taunton Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Taunton (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Taunton (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Taunton (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Wellington J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
79', 1 - 1, Sanogo S. ⚽,
84', 2 - 1, Kiota D. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tiverton won 0.

Recent form of Tiverton has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Taunton has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tiverton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

Taunton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Tiverton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 10:25. (average 1:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Tiverton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 1.4:2.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Taunton	9	4	1	4	23:22	1	13

Last Results with these Odds

Taunton Town - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.96%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiverton Town
English Southern League South Division
27.12.25	Plymouth Parkway - Tiverton Town	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Farnham Town - Tiverton Town	5:0 ✺
25.11.25	Poole Town - Tiverton Town	5:5 ✺
22.11.25	Gosport Borough - Tiverton Town	3:2 ✺
08.11.25	Hanwell Town - Tiverton Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WLTLL
- Taunton Town
English Southern League South Division
27.12.25	Taunton Town - Gloucester City	2:1 ✺
23.12.25	Hungerford Town - Taunton Town	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Yate Town - Taunton Town	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Evesham United - Taunton Town	3:0 ✺
06.12.25	Bracknell Town - Taunton Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
25.08.25	Taunton Town - Tiverton Town	3:0
21.04.25	Taunton Town - Tiverton Town	0:0
26.12.24	Tiverton Town - Taunton Town	0:3
18.04.22	Tiverton Town - Taunton Town	0:1
03.01.22	Taunton Town - Tiverton Town	3:1
English FA Cup
03.10.20	Tiverton Town - Taunton Town	3:5
English Southern League South Division
01.01.20	Tiverton Town - Taunton Town	3:2

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