Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday


	Chesham United		Margate

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.75	6.25
	1.36	5	7
	1.33	4.5	7
	1.36	5	6.85	Watch
	1.37	4.9	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.37)	4.83 ↓ (5.79)	6.7 ↓ (9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesham United
67.5%

Draw
18.9%

Margate
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72%

17%

11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.5%

17.1%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Margate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Margate than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Chesham United - Margate Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Replayed if draw.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Chesham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Chesham is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Chesham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesham United
English Southern League South Division
26.09.23	Walton & Hersham - Chesham United	2:2 ✺
23.09.23	Chesham United - Winchester City	1:2 ✺
09.09.23	Merthyr Town - Chesham United	1:3 ✺
05.09.23	Hanwell Town - Chesham United	0:3 ✺
28.08.23	Chesham United - Beaconsfield Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLWWW
- Margate
English Isthmian League Premier Division
23.09.23	Canvey Island - Margate	4:1 ✺
English FA Cup
19.09.23	Folkestone Invicta - Margate	1:3 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
09.09.23	Margate - Potters Bar Town	2:1 ✺
28.08.23	Folkestone Invicta - Margate	2:0 ✺
25.08.23	Margate - Cheshunt	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
16.11.13	Margate - Chesham United	0:3

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