Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 7

Date: 9 September 2023, Saturday


	Merthyr Town		Chesham United

	1	X	2
	2.35	4	2.48
	2.36	3.65	2.57
	2.35	3.6	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.41)	3.75 ↑ (3.64)	2.53 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merthyr Town
39.1%

Draw
24.5%

Chesham United
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

25.3%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

24.7%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merthyr Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Chesham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Merthyr Town - Chesham United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Merthyr won 1.

Merthyr in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Chesham is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Chesham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Merthyr won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 13-31.

Including matches at home between the teams Merthyr won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merthyr Town
English Southern League South Division
28.08.23	Swindon Supermarine - Merthyr Town	0:3 ✺
26.08.23	Merthyr Town - Sholing	2:1 ✺
19.08.23	Hanwell Town - Merthyr Town	1:4 ✺
15.08.23	Merthyr Town - Tiverton Town	2:1 ✺
12.08.23	Beaconsfield Town - Merthyr Town	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWWWW
- Chesham United
English Southern League South Division
05.09.23	Hanwell Town - Chesham United	0:3 ✺
28.08.23	Chesham United - Beaconsfield Town	3:0 ✺
26.08.23	Dorchester Town - Chesham United	0:2 ✺
19.08.23	Chesham United - Plymouth Parkway	4:3 ✺
15.08.23	Hayes & Yeading United - Chesham United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
07.03.23	Chesham United - Merthyr Town	1:2
11.02.23	Merthyr Town - Chesham United	0:1
09.04.22	Merthyr Town - Chesham United	0:3
21.08.21	Chesham United - Merthyr Town	3:1
08.02.20	Chesham United - Merthyr Town	2:0
14.09.19	Merthyr Town - Chesham United	1:3
11.08.18	Chesham United - Merthyr Town	0:3

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