Match Info

National League South - Round 13

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: The Meadow (Chesham)


	Chesham United		Worthing

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.25	2.45
	2.74	3.3	2.58
	2.79	3.60	2.27	Watch
	2.64	3.25	2.49
	2.77	3.45	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (2.79)	3.37 ↓ (3.6)	2.41 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesham United
34%

Draw
27.5%

Worthing
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

25.8%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

24.5%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Worthing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Chesham United - Worthing Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Worthing will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Worthing (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Spong J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 0 - 2, Spong J. ⚽,
64', 1 - 2, Bennetts J. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chesham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Chesham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Worthing - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.91%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesham United
English National League South
18.10.25	Chesham United - Torquay United	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Maidstone United - Chesham United	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Chesham United - Enfield Town	4:1 ✺
20.09.25	Weston-super-Mare - Chesham United	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Chesham United - King`s Lynn Town	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WTWLL
- Worthing FC
English National League South
18.10.25	Chelmsford City - Worthing	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
13.10.25	Worthing - Forest Green Rovers	1:4 ✺
English National League South
04.10.25	Maidenhead United - Worthing	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
27.09.25	Wimborne Town - Worthing	0:3 ✺
English National League South
20.09.25	Worthing - Tonbridge Angels	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
08.03.25	Worthing - Chesham United	3:0
09.11.24	Chesham United - Worthing	2:0
English FA Trophy
10.11.18	Worthing - Chesham United	1:0

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