Match Info

National League South - Round 12

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Chelmsford City		Worthing

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	2.82
	2.25	3.71	2.86
	2.2	3.98	2.76
	2.15	3.5	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.25)	3.65 ↑ (3.52)	2.79 (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelmsford City
41.6%

Draw
25.3%

Worthing
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

26.1%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

24.9%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelmsford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Worthing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Chelmsford City - Worthing Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Worthing (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Colbran J. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Taylor L. ⚽,
43', Addai D. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 1 - 2, Ransom H. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelmsford won 2.

Chelmsford is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Worthing has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Chelmsford won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 2.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelmsford won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 2.4:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Chelmsford City - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.94%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelmsford City
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Chelmsford City - Chippenham Town	4:3 ✺
English National League South
04.10.25	Chelmsford City - Dorking Wanderers	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
27.09.25	Alvechurch - Chelmsford City	1:2 ✺
English National League South
20.09.25	Bath City - Chelmsford City	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Maidenhead United - Chelmsford City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTWWL
- Worthing FC
English FA Cup
13.10.25	Worthing - Forest Green Rovers	1:4 ✺
English National League South
04.10.25	Maidenhead United - Worthing	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
27.09.25	Wimborne Town - Worthing	0:3 ✺
English National League South
20.09.25	Worthing - Tonbridge Angels	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
16.09.25	Worthing - Jersey Bulls	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
01.03.25	Chelmsford City - Worthing	1:2
23.11.24	Worthing - Chelmsford City	1:1
04.03.24	Chelmsford City - Worthing	0:1
06.01.24	Worthing - Chelmsford City	2:3
18.03.23	Chelmsford City - Worthing	4:2
26.11.22	Worthing - Chelmsford City	1:3
English FA Cup
22.09.18	Chelmsford City - Worthing	1:2

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