Match Info

National League South - Round 10

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: York Road (Maidenhead)


	Maidenhead United		Worthing

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3
	2.1	3.35	3.15
	2.09	3.65	3.2
	1.35	4.79	8.01	Watch
	2.1	3.48	3.16
	2.08	3.35	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.04)	3.65 ↑ (3.65)	3.94 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maidenhead United
49.1%

Draw
26.4%

Worthing
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

25.2%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

24%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maidenhead United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Worthing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Worthing might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maidenhead United than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Maidenhead United - Worthing Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Dulson L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
89', Ransom H. 🟥,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).

Maidenhead is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Worthing is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Worthing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Maidenhead might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maidenhead United
English National League South
20.09.25	Maidstone United - Maidenhead United	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Maidenhead United - Chelmsford City	2:1 ✺
02.09.25	Bath City - Maidenhead United	0:4 ✺
30.08.25	Dover Athletic - Maidenhead United	1:2 ✺
25.08.25	Maidenhead United - Horsham	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWWWW
- Worthing FC
English FA Cup
27.09.25	Wimborne Town - Worthing	0:3 ✺
English National League South
20.09.25	Worthing - Tonbridge Angels	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
16.09.25	Worthing - Jersey Bulls	5:0 ✺
English National League South
06.09.25	Dagenham & Redbridge - Worthing	2:5 ✺
02.09.25	Worthing - Salisbury	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWWW

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