Match Info

FA Cup - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	Wimborne Town		Worthing

	1	X	2
	3.1	4.1	1.83
	3.3	4.05	1.85
	3.44	4.01	1.82
	3.38	3.98	1.87	Watch
	3.2	4	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (2.82)	4.03 ↓ (4.12)	1.85 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wimborne Town
27.9%

Draw
22.7%

Worthing
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

22.3%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

22.1%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wimborne Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Worthing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wimborne Town than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Wimborne Town - Worthing Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Spong J. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
62', 0 - 2, Packham S. ⚽,
89', 0 - 3, Babalola T. ⚽,

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Wimborne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Worthing has had a series of home games.

Worthing might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Worthing - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.16%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wimborne Town
English Southern League South Division
23.09.25	Wimborne Town - Plymouth Parkway	3:2 ✺
20.09.25	Wimborne Town - Evesham United	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Wimborne Town - Bath City	2:1 ✺
English Southern League South Division
10.09.25	Gosport Borough - Wimborne Town	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Berkhamsted - Wimborne Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WTWLW
- Worthing FC
English National League South
20.09.25	Worthing - Tonbridge Angels	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
16.09.25	Worthing - Jersey Bulls	5:0 ✺
English National League South
06.09.25	Dagenham & Redbridge - Worthing	2:5 ✺
02.09.25	Worthing - Salisbury	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Worthing - Maidstone United	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWWT

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