Match Info

National League South - Round 9

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Worthing		Tonbridge Angels

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.75	6.7
	1.39	5.05	6.78
	3.91	3.14	1.99	Watch
	1.41	4.84	6.62
	1.4	4.6	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.4)	4.48 ↓ (4.65)	5.62 ↓ (6.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worthing
56.8%

Draw
24.1%

Tonbridge Angels
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

19.8%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

18.9%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worthing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Worthing's form might have worsened.

Tonbridge Angels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Worthing, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tonbridge Angels than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tonbridge Angels, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Worthing - Tonbridge Angels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Unwin B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 19).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Worthing won 4.

Worthing is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tonbridge has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tonbridge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Worthing is the clear favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Worthing won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:12. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Worthing won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 2.2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worthing FC
English FA Cup
16.09.25	Worthing - Jersey Bulls	5:0 ✺
English National League South
06.09.25	Dagenham & Redbridge - Worthing	2:5 ✺
02.09.25	Worthing - Salisbury	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Worthing - Maidstone United	3:3 ✺
25.08.25	Chippenham Town - Worthing	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWTL
- Tonbridge Angels
English National League South
06.09.25	Salisbury - Tonbridge Angels	1:3 ✺
02.09.25	Tonbridge Angels - Enfield Town	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Tonbridge Angels - Farnborough	3:3 ✺
25.08.25	Dorking Wanderers - Tonbridge Angels	4:1 ✺
23.08.25	Tonbridge Angels - Chesham United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
08.02.25	Tonbridge Angels - Worthing	1:2
19.10.24	Worthing - Tonbridge Angels	3:2
20.01.24	Tonbridge Angels - Worthing	0:1
05.08.23	Worthing - Tonbridge Angels	1:0
04.02.23	Tonbridge Angels - Worthing	2:1
22.11.22	Worthing - Tonbridge Angels	3:2
English Isthmian League Premier Division
19.04.19	Worthing - Tonbridge Angels	1:1

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