Match Info

Date: 3 September 2022, Saturday


	Cheshunt		Farnborough

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.45
	2.38	3.15	2.7
	2.55	3.25	2.5
	2.84	3.25	2.52
	2	3.1	3.6
	2.63	3.3	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (1.97)	3.21 ↑ (2.9)	2.7 ↓ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cheshunt
37.2%

Draw
28.7%

Farnborough
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

31.7%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

34.2%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cheshunt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cheshunt's form might have worsened.

Farnborough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Farnborough's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheshunt than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cheshunt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farnborough than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Farnborough, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cheshunt - Farnborough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Cheshunt has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Farnborough is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cheshunt will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cheshunt FC
English National League South
29.08.22	Cheshunt - Braintree Town	0:5 ✺
27.08.22	Slough Town - Cheshunt	3:1 ✺
20.08.22	Cheshunt - St Albans City	1:2 ✺
16.08.22	Welling United - Cheshunt	2:1 ✺
13.08.22	Dartford - Cheshunt	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Farnborough
English National League South
29.08.22	Havant & Waterlooville - Farnborough	1:0 ✺
27.08.22	Farnborough - Bath City	0:1 ✺
20.08.22	Ebbsfleet United - Farnborough	4:2 ✺
16.08.22	Farnborough - Taunton Town	1:0 ✺
13.08.22	Farnborough - Dulwich Hamlet	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLWT

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