Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 15

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	Cheshunt		Hornchurch

	1	X	2
	4.6	4.2	1.51
	4.75	4.2	1.53
	4.6	4.59	1.55
	4.61	4.59	1.56
	4.2	4.2	1.57
	4.95	4.2	1.51
	4.75	4.2	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.64 ↓ (6.15)	4.31 ↓ (4.55)	1.54 ↑ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cheshunt
19.6%

Draw
21.1%

Hornchurch
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.8%

19.9%

65.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.5%

19.5%

66.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cheshunt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Hornchurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hornchurch might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheshunt than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cheshunt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hornchurch could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cheshunt - Hornchurch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cheshunt won 2.

Cheshunt is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hornchurch is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Hornchurch could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Hornchurch have a series of home games.

In this match Hornchurch is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Cheshunt won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Cheshunt won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cheshunt FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
24.10.23	Potters Bar Town - Cheshunt	1:1 ✺
21.10.23	Cheshunt - Haringey Borough	0:2 ✺
14.10.23	Folkestone Invicta - Cheshunt	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Cheshunt - Dulwich Hamlet	0:1 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
30.09.23	Cheshunt - Dulwich Hamlet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLLLW
- AFC Hornchurch
English Isthmian League Premier Division
04.11.23	Hornchurch - Enfield Town	2:0 ✺
24.10.23	Hornchurch - Folkestone Invicta	4:2 ✺
21.10.23	Hornchurch - Bognor Regis Town	4:1 ✺
15.10.23	Cray Wanderers - Hornchurch	1:4 ✺
10.10.23	Hornchurch - Hastings United	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
02.05.22	Hornchurch - Cheshunt	1:2
05.04.22	Cheshunt - Hornchurch	1:2
12.10.21	Hornchurch - Cheshunt	0:1
20.10.20	Cheshunt - Hornchurch	0:3
04.02.20	Hornchurch - Cheshunt	3:0

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