Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 11

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	Hornchurch		Bognor Regis Town

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.5	6
	1.4	4.5	6
	1.43	5.34	5.41
	1.43	5.34	5.41
	1.4	4.5	6
	1.38	4.7	6.1
	1.4	4.5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.66)	4.77 ↑ (3.98)	5.85 ↑ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hornchurch
65.2%

Draw
19.2%

Bognor Regis Town
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

22.8%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

24.2%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hornchurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hornchurch's performance.

Bognor Regis Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bognor Regis Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hornchurch that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bognor Regis Town than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bognor Regis Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hornchurch - Bognor Regis Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hornchurch won 2.

Recent matches Hornchurch is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bognor Regis is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hornchurch could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hornchurch is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Hornchurch won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Hornchurch won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Hornchurch
English Isthmian League Premier Division
15.10.23	Cray Wanderers - Hornchurch	1:4 ✺
10.10.23	Hornchurch - Hastings United	4:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Leiston - Hornchurch	2:1 penalties ✺
English FA Cup
03.10.23	Hornchurch - Aveley	1:2 ET ✺
30.09.23	Aveley - Hornchurch	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLLT
- Bognor Regis Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
14.10.23	Bognor Regis Town - Concord Rangers	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Bognor Regis Town - Hayes & Yeading United	3:1 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
30.09.23	Potters Bar Town - Bognor Regis Town	1:1 ✺
23.09.23	Bognor Regis Town - Kingstonian	2:0 ✺
16.09.23	Cheshunt - Bognor Regis Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.02.23	Hornchurch - Bognor Regis Town	1:0
13.08.22	Bognor Regis Town - Hornchurch	1:0
02.04.22	Hornchurch - Bognor Regis Town	3:3
27.11.21	Bognor Regis Town - Hornchurch	1:2
30.11.19	Hornchurch - Bognor Regis Town	0:0
09.02.19	Bognor Regis Town - Hornchurch	2:0
25.08.18	Hornchurch - Bognor Regis Town	1:1

Upcoming Matches