The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Buxton 38.1%
Draw 26.9%
Chester 35%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.2%
25.9%
39.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33%
26.8%
41.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Buxton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
Chester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Buxton that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chester than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chester could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Buxton - Chester Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
27', 1 - 0, Tuntulwana S. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Waters B. ⚽,
41', 2 - 1, Moses D. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 3 - 1, Tuntulwana S. ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buxton won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Buxton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Buxton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 1:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Buxton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.4:2.4).
Outrights of English National League North for now
Chester: 10.41% Buxton: 4.86%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Chester
10
5
2
3
13:9
4
17
9
Buxton
10
5
1
4
18:18
0
16
Last Results with these Odds
Buxton - the odds 2.71 are the expected chance of winning is 34.25%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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