The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chester 56.6%
Draw 22.8%
Merthyr Town 20.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.9%
23.5%
20.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.1%
22.6%
19.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chester than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Chester - Merthyr Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Lucas L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, Chester is considered a favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Chester won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Chester won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
Outrights of English National League North for now