The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chester 56%
Draw 23.7%
Worksop Town 20.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.6%
24.6%
19.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.7%
25.1%
19.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Worksop Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chester than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worksop Town than the current prediction. (-1%)
Chester - Worksop Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Butt R. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', 2 - 0, Waters B. ⚽,
53', 2 - 1, Whitham L. ⚽,
55', 3 - 1, Waters B. ⚽,
67', 4 - 1, Abreau J. ⚽,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 9th and 14th).
Recent results have been tough for Chester (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Worksop has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Worksop may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Worksop has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this matchup, Chester is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Chester has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:3 (averaging 0.5:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chester against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.
Outrights of English National League North for now
Chester: 10.41% Worksop: 0.91%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Chester
10
5
2
3
13:9
4
17
18
Worksop
10
4
0
6
10:16
-6
12
Last Results with these Odds
Chester - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 55.59%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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