Match Info

National League North - Round 22

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Deva Stadium (Chester)


	Chester		South Shields

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	2.63
	2.3	3.55	2.68
	2.46	3.65	2.59
	2.34	3.73	2.67	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.63
	2.3	3.67	2.75
	2.33	3.5	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.5)	3.56 ↑ (3.4)	2.66 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chester
39.6%

Draw
25.8%

South Shields
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

26.3%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

26%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

South Shields has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chester than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Shields than the current prediction. (+3%)

Chester - South Shields Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chester (votes: 1 - 50%). South Shields (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 3)
49', 1 - 0, Woods C. (Penalty Awarded),
57', 1 - 1, Blackett P. ⚽,
65', 1 - 2, Jenkins W. ⚽,
79', 1 - 3, Scott C. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Chester is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

South Shields has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Chester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chester won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Chester won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Chester - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 35.73%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chester City
English National League North
06.12.25	King`s Lynn Town - Chester	0:2 ✺
02.12.25	Radcliffe - Chester	1:3 ✺
25.11.25	Chester - Hereford	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Chester - Leamington	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Chester - Clitheroe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWTWL
- South Shields FC
English National League North
16.12.25	South Shields - Peterborough Sports	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	South Shields - Macclesfield Town	0:1 ✺
English National League North
06.12.25	South Shields - Kidderminster Harriers	1:2 ✺
25.11.25	Worksop Town - South Shields	0:3 ✺
22.11.25	AFC Telford United - South Shields	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
23.08.25	South Shields - Chester	4:0
08.02.25	South Shields - Chester	2:0
07.09.24	Chester - South Shields	1:0
23.03.24	Chester - South Shields	0:1
25.11.23	South Shields - Chester	0:1

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