Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 22

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Chesterfield		Eastleigh

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.75	11
	1.21	6	9
	1.22	6.5	10	Watch
	1.22	6.62	11.53
	1.22	6.62	11.53
	1.22	5.5	9
	1.19	6.5	11.25
	1.22	6	9.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.42)	6.19 ↑ (4.55)	10.36 ↑ (6.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesterfield
76.1%

Draw
15%

Eastleigh
8.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

20.2%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

19.4%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chesterfield's performance.

Eastleigh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eastleigh might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chesterfield that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eastleigh could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chesterfield - Eastleigh Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tyrer H. (G) 28. Banks O. 11. Colclough R. 17. Dobra A. 9. Grigg W. 5. Grimes J. 3. Horton B. 7. Mandeville L. 4. Naylor T. 8. Oldaker D. 21. Palmer A.	1. McDonnell J. (G) 4. Atangana N. 11. Boldewijn E. 6. Francillette L. 23. Harris J. J. 14. Hodson L. 12. Langston G. 9. McCallum P. 20. Quigley S. 21. Rutherford O. 8. Taylor J.
Substitutes
18. Berry-McNally J. 16. Freckleton M. 10. Jacobs M. 27. Quigley J. 22. Sheckleford R.	10. Barlow A. 3. Clampin R. 16. Nwabuokei S. 19. Panter C. 13. Scott T. (G)

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chesterfield won 4.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

In this match Chesterfield is certain favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Chesterfield won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Chesterfield won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesterfield
English National League
21.11.23	Woking - Chesterfield	0:2 ✺
18.11.23	Southend United - Chesterfield	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Chesterfield - Barnet	4:2 ✺
English FA Cup
05.11.23	Chesterfield - Portsmouth	1:0 ✺
English National League
28.10.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Chesterfield	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLWWW
- Eastleigh FC
English National League
21.11.23	Eastleigh - Boreham Wood	2:1 ✺
18.11.23	Eastleigh - Altrincham	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Oldham Athletic - Eastleigh	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Eastleigh - Boreham Wood	5:1 ✺
English National League
28.10.23	Maidenhead United - Eastleigh	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
15.04.23	Chesterfield - Eastleigh	3:2
08.10.22	Eastleigh - Chesterfield	2:1
29.01.22	Eastleigh - Chesterfield	0:1
26.10.21	Chesterfield - Eastleigh	1:0
02.04.21	Eastleigh - Chesterfield	0:1
02.03.21	Chesterfield - Eastleigh	1:0
18.01.20	Eastleigh - Chesterfield	0:2

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