Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 21

Date: 21 November 2023, Tuesday


	Woking		Chesterfield

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.75	1.55
	4.8	3.9	1.53
	5	4.33	1.57
	5.37	4.2	1.59
	5.37	4.2	1.6
	4.6	4	1.53
	5	4.1	1.57
	5.2	3.95	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.07 ↑ (4.03)	4.05 ↑ (3.75)	1.56 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Woking
18.2%

Draw
22.8%

Chesterfield
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

24.7%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

24.9%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Woking has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chesterfield's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Woking than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chesterfield, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	11.1%	77.8%

Woking - Chesterfield Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Woking will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chesterfield: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andre A. (G) 16. Akinola O. 10. Amond P. 3. Casey J. (C) 4. Cuthbert S. 24. Ince R. 2. Moss D. 29. Pavey A. 5. Taylor G. 19. Wakefield Ch. 25. Williams M.	1. Tyrer H. (G) 18. Berry-McNally J. 17. Dobra A. 16. Freckleton M. 5. Grimes J. 35. Jones M. 7. Mandeville L. 4. Naylor T. 21. Palmer A. 27. Quigley J. 22. Sheckleford R.
Substitutes
20. Bradshaw Z. 9. Grego-Cox R. 28. Habergham S. 22. Jaaskelainen W. (G) 21. Odusina T.	28. Banks O. 11. Colclough R. 9. Grigg W. 3. Horton B. 10. Jacobs M.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 17 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Woking won 2.

Woking is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chesterfield is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Chesterfield is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Woking won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Woking won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Woking
English National League
18.11.23	Woking - Oldham Athletic	0:1 ✺
11.11.23	Oxford City - Woking	3:2 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Ramsgate - Woking	2:1 ✺
English National League
28.10.23	Woking - Bromley	0:1 ✺
24.10.23	Eastleigh - Woking	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLW
- Chesterfield
English National League
18.11.23	Southend United - Chesterfield	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Chesterfield - Barnet	4:2 ✺
English FA Cup
05.11.23	Chesterfield - Portsmouth	1:0 ✺
English National League
28.10.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Chesterfield	1:3 ✺
24.10.23	Chesterfield - York City	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
18.03.23	Woking - Chesterfield	0:1
07.02.23	Chesterfield - Woking	1:3
15.05.22	Chesterfield - Woking	0:0
28.09.21	Woking - Chesterfield	3:1
08.05.21	Woking - Chesterfield	1:4
10.10.20	Chesterfield - Woking	4:0
13.08.19	Chesterfield - Woking	1:2

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