Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 18

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	Kidderminster Harriers		Chesterfield

	1	X	2
	5.25	4	1.62
	4.8	3.7	1.57
	5	4	1.62
	5.01	3.97	1.68
	5.78	3.94	1.61
	4.5	3.8	1.62
	5.25	3.82	1.59
	4.8	3.8	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.05 ↑ (4.04)	3.88 ↑ (3.7)	1.62 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kidderminster Harriers
18.4%

Draw
24%

Chesterfield
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

24.8%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

24.2%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kidderminster Harriers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chesterfield's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kidderminster Harriers than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Kidderminster Harriers - Chesterfield Predictions

Users Predictions: Chesterfield will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Dibble C. (G) 14. Brown Z. 22. Maguire B. 19. McLean R. 6. McNally R. 9. Morgan-Smith A. 12. Oxlade-Chamberlain C. 5. Pearce K. (C) 2. Penny A. 3. Richards C. 20. Robinson S.	23. Boot R. (G) 28. Banks O. 11. Colclough R. 17. Dobra A. 16. Freckleton M. 9. Grigg W. 5. Grimes J. (C) 35. Jones M. 7. Mandeville L. 4. Naylor T. 12. Williams T.
Substitutes
10. Hemmings A. 18. Lissimore K. 15. McDonagh G. 7. Phillips K. 16. Preston M.	18. Berry-McNally J. 24. Curtis H. 10. Jacobs M. 8. Oldaker D. 21. Palmer A.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two).

Kidderminster is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chesterfield in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kidderminster could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Chesterfield is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kidderminster Harriers
English National League
24.10.23	Altrincham - Kidderminster Harriers	1:1 ✺
21.10.23	Halifax Town - Kidderminster Harriers	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
14.10.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Ashton United	2:0 ✺
English National League
07.10.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Wealdstone	1:0 ✺
03.10.23	Dorking Wanderers - Kidderminster Harriers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TLWWW
- Chesterfield
English National League
24.10.23	Chesterfield - York City	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
14.10.23	Chesterfield - Kettering Town	5:0 ✺
English National League
07.10.23	Boreham Wood - Chesterfield	0:2 ✺
03.10.23	Chesterfield - Bromley	2:0 ✺
30.09.23	Maidenhead United - Chesterfield	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWT

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