The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Southend United 23.2%
Draw 24.5%
Chesterfield 52.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.3%
26.6%
43.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.5%
25.9%
44.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Southend United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Southend United's form might have worsened.
Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chesterfield's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Southend United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chesterfield, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
5.6%
5.6%
88.9%
Southend United - Chesterfield Predictions
Users Predictions:
Chesterfield will win
(16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%). Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Martin D. (G) 7. Bridge J. 9. Cardwell H. 28. Coker O. 18. Fonguck W. 8. Husin N. 6. Kensdale O. 3. Ralph N. (C) 2. Scott-Morriss G. 16. Taylor H. 14. Wood J.
1. Tyrer H. (G) 28. Banks O. 11. Colclough R. 9. Grigg W. 5. Grimes J. (C) 3. Horton B. 10. Jacobs M. 7. Mandeville L. 4. Naylor T. 8. Oldaker D. 21. Palmer A.
Substitutes
22. Kabongolo B. 10. Mooney D.
18. Berry-McNally J. 17. Dobra A. 16. Freckleton M. 35. Jones M. 27. Quigley J.
Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Southend won 0.
Recent matches Southend is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Chesterfield is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Southend could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Chesterfield have a series of home games.
In this match Chesterfield is a favorite.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Southend won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 22-21.
Including matches at home between the teams Southend won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-7.
United-kingdom
Watch
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Martin D. (G) 
Cardwell H. 
Husin N. 
Grigg W. 
Kabongolo B. 
Mooney D. 
Dobra A. 
Quigley J. 
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