Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/128-FINALS

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Denmark	Discovery+, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Hungary	Match 4
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Eleven Sports 3, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Viaplay


	Chesterfield		Portsmouth

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.5	2.05	Watch
	3.2	3.75	2.1
	3.2	3.6	2.05	Watch
	3.33	3.72	2.1
	3.46	3.77	2.03
	3.2	3.6	2	Watch
	3.28	3.74	2.04	Watch
	3.25	3.6	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↓ (4.29)	3.66 ↓ (3.66)	2.06 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesterfield
28.4%

Draw
25.7%

Portsmouth
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.9%

25.6%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

26.6%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chesterfield's performance.

Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portsmouth might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chesterfield that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portsmouth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chesterfield - Portsmouth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tyrer H. (G) 7. Mandeville L. 21. Palmer A. 5. Grimes J. 3. Horton B. 4. Naylor T. 8. Oldaker D. 10. Jacobs M. 28. Banks O. 17. Dobra A. 9. Grigg W.	1. Norris W. (G) 17. Rafferty J. 5. Poole R. 18. Shaughnessy C. 21. Sparkes J. 8. Robertson A. 16. Morrell J. 32. Lane P. 24. Devlin T. 28. Anjorin F. 9. Bishop C.
Substitutes
18. Berry-McNally J. 23. Boot R. (G) 11. Colclough R. 40. Cook C. 24. Curtis H. 16. Freckleton M. 35. Jones M. 20. King J. 22. Sheckleford R.	25. Kamara A. 20. Raggett S. 15. Saydee C. 31. Schofield R. (G) 14. Stevenson B. 2. Swanson Z. 4. Towler R. 11. Whyte G. 19. Yengi K.

Preview

Replayed if draw.

One and the other team during the last matches got a chain of wins.

In this match Portsmouth is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Chesterfield won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Chesterfield won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesterfield
English National League
28.10.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Chesterfield	1:3 ✺
24.10.23	Chesterfield - York City	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
14.10.23	Chesterfield - Kettering Town	5:0 ✺
English National League
07.10.23	Boreham Wood - Chesterfield	0:2 ✺
03.10.23	Chesterfield - Bromley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWW
- Portsmouth FC
English League One
28.10.23	Reading - Portsmouth	2:3 ✺
24.10.23	Cambridge United - Portsmouth	0:0 ✺
21.10.23	Portsmouth - Carlisle United	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Portsmouth - Gillingham	5:1 ✺
English League One
07.10.23	Portsmouth - Port Vale	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
03.03.14	Chesterfield - Portsmouth	0:0
31.08.13	Portsmouth - Chesterfield	0:2

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