The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
York City 32.6%
Draw 26.1%
Chesterfield 41.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.5%
23.1%
55.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.7%
23.3%
54.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in York City's performance.
Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chesterfield might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for York City than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with York City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+13.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chesterfield could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
15.4%
38.5%
46.2%
York City - Chesterfield Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. York will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Chesterfield: 19.1% – 73.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Watson R. (G) 9. Akinyemi D. 24. Amos D. 39. Armstrong M. 18. Batty D. 19. Chadwick B. 2. Fallowfield R. 15. Howe C. (C) 29. Hunt A. 11. Kouhyar Q. 36. Latty-Fairweather T.
23. Boot R. (G) 28. Banks O. 18. Berry-McNally J. 17. Dobra A. 5. Grimes J. (C) 3. Horton B. 20. King J. 4. Naylor T. 8. Oldaker D. 21. Palmer A. 27. Quigley J.
Substitutes
40. Fishburn S. 14. John-Lewis L. N. 6. McLaughlin P. 23. Siziba Z. 38. Sykes-Kenworthy G. (G)
40. Cook C. 24. Curtis H. 15. Hobson B. 35. Jones M. 7. Mandeville L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Quigley J. ⚽,
45+11', Latty-Fairweather T. ↓, Fishburn S. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 1 - 1, Kouhyar Q. ⚽,
64', Hunt A. 🟨,
66', Naylor T. 🟨,
69', Grimes J. 🟨,
71', 2 - 1, Akinyemi D. ⚽,
82', Horton B. ↓, Mandeville L. ↑,
83', Chadwick B. ↓, McLaughlin P. ↑,
83', Kouhyar Q. ↓, John-Lewis L. N. ↑,
86', Banks O. ↓, Hobson B. ↑,
90', Dobra A. ↓, Cook C. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two).
Last 5 head-to-head matches York won 1.
Recent matches York is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Chesterfield is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Chesterfield could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 7 head-to-head matches York won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-15.
Including matches at home between the teams York won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.
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Watson R. (G) 
Amos D. 
Kouhyar Q. 
Dobra A. 
Quigley J. 
Siziba Z. 
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