Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL Trophy - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 January 2025, Tuesday

Location: SMH Group Stadium (Chesterfield)

Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Chesterfield		Rotherham United

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
				Watch
	2.62	3.2	2.45
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.61)	3.2 ↓ (3.27)	2.45 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesterfield
34.6%

Draw
28.3%

Rotherham United
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

28.2%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

28.4%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Rotherham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	22.2%	66.7%

Chesterfield - Rotherham United Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Chesterfield will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Rotherham will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rotherham: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Boot R. (G) 2. Sheckleford R. 4. Naylor T. 5. Grimes J. (C) 3. Horton B. 8. Oldaker D. 7. Mandeville L. 15. Hobson B. 17. Dobra A. 11. Colclough R. 27. Pepple A.	1. Dawson C. (C) 2. Rafferty J. 22. Odoffin H. 16. Jules Z. 3. Bramall C. 23. Holmes J. 4. Kelly L. 6. James R. 11. Green A. 10. Hugill J. 9. Clarke-Harris J.
Substitutes
16. Akinola T. 28. Banks O. 40. Cook C. 44. Donacien J. 31. Drummond K. 21. Palmer A. 1. Thompson M. (G)	35. Hatton B. 37. Hull J. 24. Humphreys C. 17. McWilliams S. 8. Nombe S. 20. Phillips D. (G) 7. Powell J.
Coaches
Cook P.	Evans S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Kelly L. 🟨,
57', Odoffin H. 🟨,
59', Colclough R. ↓, Drummond K. ↑,
69', Jules Z. 🟨,
73', Hobson B. ↓, Banks O. ↑,
73', Sheckleford R. ↓, Donacien J. ↑,
76', Kelly L. ↓, Humphreys C. ↑,
77', Hugill J. ↓, Nombe S. ↑,
77', Green A. ↓, Powell J. ↑,
78', Holmes J. ↓, McWilliams S. ↑,
80', Bramall C. ↓, Hatton B. ↑,
85', Pepple A. ↓, Cook C. ↑,
85', Mandeville L. ↓, Akinola T. ↑,
90+1', Dobra A. 🟨,
90+3', Nombe S. 🟨,
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Banks O. (Pen),
1, Clarke-Harris J. (Pen),
2, Dobra A. (Pen),
2, Nombe S. (Pen),
3, Drummond K. (Pen),
3, Odoffin H. (Pen),
4, Cook C. (Pen),
4, Powell J. (Pen),
5, Oldaker D. (Pen),
5, Humphreys C. (Pen),

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Rotherham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chesterfield won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:8 (average 1:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Chesterfield won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesterfield
English League Two
01.01.25	Chesterfield - Milton Keynes Dons	1:2 ✺
29.12.24	Bradford City - Chesterfield	2:1 ✺
26.12.24	Fleetwood Town - Chesterfield	2:0 ✺
21.12.24	Chesterfield - AFC Wimbledon	1:0 ✺
14.12.24	Carlisle United - Chesterfield	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLLWW
- Rotherham United
English League One
11.01.25	Rotherham United - Bolton Wanderers	3:1 ✺
04.01.25	Huddersfield Town - Rotherham United	0:0 ✺
01.01.25	Lincoln City - Rotherham United	0:1 ✺
29.12.24	Rotherham United - Stockport County	1:1 ✺
26.12.24	Rotherham United - Wigan Athletic	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
20.07.19	Chesterfield - Rotherham United	1:2
English EFL Trophy
03.10.17	Rotherham United - Chesterfield	1:2
Club Friendly
25.07.17	Chesterfield - Rotherham United	1:3
English League Two
16.02.13	Rotherham United - Chesterfield	1:0
25.08.12	Chesterfield - Rotherham United	1:1

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