The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Carlisle United 30.6%
Draw 27.9%
Chesterfield 41.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.8%
27%
44.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.4%
26.4%
43.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
16.7%
66.7%
Carlisle United - Chesterfield Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Carlisle will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Breeze G. (G) 37. Burey T. 6. Hayden A. 5. Lavelle S. (C) 22. Mellish J. 3. Harper C. 24. Sadi D. 21. McGeouch D. 16. Vela J. 11. Jones J. 14. Adu Adjei D.
1. Thompson M. (G) 2. Sheckleford R. 12. Williams T. 6. Araujo H. 19. Gordon L. 7. Mandeville L. 28. Banks O. 24. Markanday D. 17. Dobra A. 11. Colclough R. 9. Grigg W. (C)
Substitutes
26. Barclay B. 12. Biggins H. 8. Guy C. 9. Kelly G. 17. Neal H. 41. Randall T. (G) 20. Williams B.
18. Berry-McNally J. 23. Boot R. (G) 31. Drummond K. 5. Grimes J. 15. Hobson B. 3. Horton B. 4. Naylor T.
Coaches
Williamson M.
Cook P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Markanday D. ⚽, Grigg W. (A),
32', Vela J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Vela J. ↓, Kelly G. ↑,
46', Gordon L. ↓, Grimes J. ↑,
52', Grimes J. 🟨,
52', Kelly G. 🟨,
56', Burey T. ↓, Neal H. ↑,
61', McGeouch D. ↓, Guy C. ↑,
61', Jones J. ↓, Biggins H. ↑,
62', Williams T. ↓, Naylor T. ↑,
66', Colclough R. ↓, Hobson B. ↑,
67', Hayden A. 🟨,
73', Banks O. 🟨,
75', 0 - 2, Grigg W. ⚽,
78', Dobra A. ↓, Berry-McNally J. ↑,
78', Grigg W. ↓, Drummond K. ↑,
Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 8).
Carlisle is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recent matches Chesterfield is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Carlisle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.8:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Carlisle won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 1.7:0.3).