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Current Win Probability
Chesterfield 34.9%
Draw 29.4%
Milton Keynes Dons 35.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.8%
27.6%
27.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.2%
27.2%
28%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chesterfield's form might have worsened.
Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Milton Keynes Dons's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chesterfield, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Milton Keynes Dons, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
0%
28.6%
Chesterfield - Milton Keynes Dons Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Chesterfield will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). MK Dons will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
1. Hemming Z. (G) 20. Daley-Campbell V. 22. Dunkley C. (C) 6. McFadzean K. 19. Gordon L. 13. Fleck J. 4. Naylor T. 24. Markanday D. 27. Darcy R. 17. Dobra A. 10. Bonis L.
1. MacGillivray C. (G) 7. Crowley D. 21. Ekpiteta M. 15. Offord L. 24. Lemonheigh-Evans C. 16. Nemane A. 6. Kelly L. 8. Gilbey A. (C) 11. Mendez-Laing N. 13. Paterson C. 29. Hepburn-Murphy R.
Substitutes
23. Boot R. (G) 25. Dickson W. 9. Grigg W. 5. Grimes J. 3. Lewis A. 7. Mandeville L. 30. Tanton D.
18. Collar W. 10. Collins A. 17. Leko J. 38. Lewis-Burgess K. 49. Medwynter C. 34. Tripp C. 27. Trueman C. (G)
Coaches
Cook P.
Warne P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Hepburn-Murphy R. ⚽, Paterson C. (A),
35', Crowley D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Mendez-Laing N. 🟨,
62', Mendez-Laing N. ↓, Collins A. ↑,
63', Bonis L. ↓, Grigg W. ↑,
63', Daley-Campbell V. ↓, Tanton D. ↑,
65', Dobra A. 🟨,
65', Hepburn-Murphy R. 🟨,
68', Gilbey A. 🟨,
74', Crowley D. ↓, Collar W. ↑,
78', Markanday D. ↓, Mandeville L. ↑,
78', Darcy R. ↓, Dickson W. ↑,
83', Hepburn-Murphy R. ↓, Leko J. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Naylor T. ⚽, Mandeville L. (A),
87', 🟨,
90+2', Dobra A. ↓, Lewis A. ↑,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 2.
Chesterfield is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, MK Dons has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
MK Dons may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Chesterfield has had a series of away games.
Chesterfield will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Chesterfield: Butterfield L.
(Foot Injury)
Dibley-Dias M.
(Injury)
Donacien J.
(Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in MK Dons: Jones G.
(Injury)
Maguire L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Mellish J.
(Red Card)
Tomlinson J.
(Foot Injury)
There are questionable in Chesterfield: Berry-McNally J.
(Injury)
Williams T.
(Injury)
There are questionable in MK Dons: Collins A.
(Inactive)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Chesterfield won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:0.8).
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Hemming Z. (G) 
Dunkley C. (C) 
Gordon L. 
Dobra A. 
Bonis L. 
Lemonheigh-Evans C. 
Nemane A. 
Kelly L. 
Mendez-Laing N. 
Tanton D. 
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