Match Info

League One - Round 9

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Aesseal New York Stadium (Rotherham)

Referee: Rock D. (Eng)


	Rotherham United		Stockport County

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.7	1.86	Watch
	3.2	3.3	2.15
	3.7	3.7	1.88	Watch
	3.8	3.84	1.95
	3.80	2.79	2.24	Watch
	3.62	3.72	1.91	Watch
	3.4	3.5	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (3.3)	3.51 ↑ (3.25)	2.01 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rotherham United
26.2%

Draw
26.8%

Stockport County
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

28.3%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

27.5%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Stockport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Rotherham United - Stockport County Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Rotherham will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Stockport will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Rotherham (2.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stockport County will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Rotherham (votes: 1 - 25%). Stockport (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dawson C. (G) 2. Rafferty J. (C) 15. Baptiste J. 3. Jules Z. 44. Gore D. 11. Martha A. 6. James R. 17. McWilliams S. 7. Powell J. 21. Kayode J. 9. Hugill J.	1. Hinchliffe B. (G) 5. Olowu J. 33. Hills B. 15. Pye E. 2. O'Keeffe C. 26. Norwood O. (C) 27. Bailey O. 23. Osborn B. 22. Andresson B. 7. Diamond J. 19. Wootton K.
Substitutes
18. Agbaire L. 19. Benson J. 13. Cann T. (G) 22. Hall D. 14. Kaleta M. 4. Kelly L. 8. Spence K.	34. Addai C. (G) 8. Camps C. 16. Connolly C. 10. Fevrier J. 9. Lowe N. 11. Mothersille M. 21. Moxon O.
Coaches
Hamshaw M.	Challinor D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Jules Z. 🟨,
13', Hugill J. 🟨,
23', O'Keeffe C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Diamond J. ↓, Mothersille M. ↑,
46', O'Keeffe C. ↓, Fevrier J. ↑,
53', Wootton K. 🟨,
56', Kayode J. ↓, Kaleta M. ↑,
60', 0 - 1, Wootton K. ⚽, Norwood O. (A),
64', Rafferty J. ↓, Spence K. ↑,
65', Powell J. ↓, Hall D. ↑,
74', Andresson B. ↓, Lowe N. ↑,
81', McWilliams S. ↓, Benson J. ↑,
81', Hugill J. ↓, Kelly L. ↑,
85', Mothersille M. ↓, Camps C. ↑,
86', Bailey O. ↓, Moxon O. ↑,
88', Kelly L. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 18 and 10).

Recent form of Rotherham has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Stockport's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Rotherham has had a series of away games.

Stockport will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Rotherham: Agbaire L. (Contusion) Hatton B. (Hamstring Injury) Holmes T. (Knee Injury) Nombe S. (Hamstring Injury) Raggett S. (Injury) Sherif M. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Rotherham: Etete K. (Injury) Hall D. (Injury) McWilliams S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Stockport: Bate L. (Injury) Edun T. (Ankle Injury) Hoskonen A. (Injury) Onyango T. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Rotherham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rotherham United
English League One
13.09.25	AFC Wimbledon - Rotherham United	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	Rotherham United - Exeter City	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.09.25	Bolton Wanderers - Rotherham United	1:0 ✺
English League One
30.08.25	Doncaster Rovers - Rotherham United	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
26.08.25	Barnsley - Rotherham United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLL
- Stockport County
English League One
13.09.25	Stockport County - Cardiff City	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Plymouth Argyle - Stockport County	4:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.09.25	Stockport County - Wolverhampton Wanderers U21	5:3 ✺
English League One
30.08.25	Wigan Athletic - Stockport County	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
26.08.25	Wigan Athletic - Stockport County	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
12.04.25	Stockport County - Rotherham United	3:1
29.12.24	Rotherham United - Stockport County	1:1
English FA Cup
03.12.21	Rotherham United - Stockport County	1:0

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