Match Info

Date: 16 March 2021, Tuesday


	Chesterfield		Sutton United

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	3.2
	2.4	3.25	2.75
	2.18	3.05	3.3
	2.25	3.3	3.37
	2.2	3.1	3.25
	2.3	3.22	3.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.75)	3.2 ↓ (3.35)	3.19 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesterfield
41.5%

Draw
29.2%

Sutton United
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

27.5%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

20.1%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chesterfield's performance.

Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sutton United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-16.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chesterfield that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+23.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sutton United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chesterfield - Sutton United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion to League Two).

Recent matches Chesterfield is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sutton in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sutton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Chesterfield will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chesterfield won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Chesterfield won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesterfield
English National League
13.03.21	Maidenhead United - Chesterfield	2:0 ✺
06.03.21	Chesterfield - Yeovil Town	3:0 ✺
02.03.21	Chesterfield - Eastleigh	1:0 ✺
27.02.21	Stockport County - Chesterfield	2:0 ✺
23.02.21	Chesterfield - Altrincham	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWLW
- Sutton United
English National League
13.03.21	King`s Lynn Town - Sutton United	0:1 ✺
09.03.21	Sutton United - Yeovil Town	2:1 ✺
06.03.21	Sutton United - Wrexham	0:0 ✺
02.03.21	Sutton United - Bromley	3:2 ✺
23.02.21	Dagenham & Redbridge - Sutton United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
08.12.20	Sutton United - Chesterfield	0:1
04.01.20	Chesterfield - Sutton United	1:0
21.09.19	Sutton United - Chesterfield	4:0
23.03.19	Chesterfield - Sutton United	3:0
30.10.18	Sutton United - Chesterfield	1:1

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