Match Info

Thai League 1 - Round 28

Date: 4 April 2025, Friday

Location: Leo Chiangrai Stadium (Chiang Rai)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	SPOTV Now
Thailand	True Ball Thai 1


	Chiangrai United		Nongbua Pitchaya

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	3.25	3.4
	1.95	3.25	3.55	Watch
	1.91	3.25	3.87	Watch
	2	3.2	3.3
	1.89	3.32	4.21	Watch
	1.95	3.25	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.16)	3.25 ↑ (3.08)	3.65 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chiangrai United
47%

Draw
28%

Nongbua Pitchaya
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

29.7%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

29.1%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chiangrai United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Nongbua Pitchaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chiangrai United than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nongbua Pitchaya than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Chiangrai United - Nongbua Pitchaya Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chiangrai United (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Nongbua Pitchaya (1.74) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Chiangrai United will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Chiangrai United (votes: 2 - 40%). Nongbua Pitchaya (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Worawong A. (G) 17. Verzura G. (C) 44. Cesar J. 6. Emaviwe J. 55. Pimoytha T. 29. Meethoum A. 88. Stewart H. 20. Jaihan T. 11. Iury C. 5. Lee Jung-Moon 9. Lee S.	15. Jamsuwan K. (C) 2. Lyngbo S. 27. Marom W. 46. Jorge Felipe 88. Harntes A. 7. Lukthong N. 19. Judivan 25. Waenlor A. 14. Phochai T. 11. Conrado 16. Songma J.
Substitutes
99. Kannoo S. 4. Phanichakul P. 27. Phumchat A. 40. Prachuabmon C. 32. Promsawat M. 8. Ralph 50. Singthong O. 30. Sobunma R. 3. Srisai T. 7. Suvannaseat S. 10. Thinjom S. 22. Wongruankhum S. (G)	10. Chawin S. 31. Goonchorn P. (G) 23. Haber M. 18. Jujeen A. 3. Palachom T. 8. Park Jong-Woo 6. Posri S. 21. Rontini C. 26. Sathaporn W. 30. Sriwichai W.
Coaches
dos Santos V.	Yothee S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Verzura G. 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Emaviwe J. ⚽, Lee S. (A),
37', Lyngbo S. 🟨,
39', Jaihan T. ↓, Thinjom S. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Harntes A. ↓, Palachom T. ↑,
46', Lukthong N. ↓, Park Jong-Woo ↑,
48', Thinjom S. 🟨,
59', Lyngbo S. ↓, Jujeen A. ↑,
63', Pimoytha T. ↓, Suvannaseat S. ↑,
70', Songma J. ↓, Sriwichai W. ↑,
72', Lee S. ↓, Phanichakul P. ↑,
72', Verzura G. ↓, Promsawat M. ↑,
73', Jorge Felipe 🟨,
74', 2 - 0, Emaviwe J. ⚽,
79', Judivan ↓, Haber M. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Haber M. ⚽, Sriwichai W. (A),
89', Jujeen A. 🟨,
90+7', Waenlor A. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 11 and 13).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Chiangrai United will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chiangrai United won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:3 (average 2:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Chiangrai United won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chiangrai United
Thai League 1
29.03.25	Nakhon Ratchasima - Chiangrai United	1:4 ✺
16.03.25	Chiangrai United - Rayong FC	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Bangkok United - Chiangrai United	3:2 ✺
02.03.25	Chiangrai United - Ratchaburi	0:1 ✺
Thai League Cup
26.02.25	Chiangrai United - Prachuap	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWLLW
- Nongbua Pitchaya FC
Thai League 1
29.03.25	Nongbua Pitchaya - Sukhothai	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Khonkaen United - Nongbua Pitchaya	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Ratchaburi - Nongbua Pitchaya	4:0 ✺
01.03.25	Nongbua Pitchaya - Rayong FC	1:1 ✺
Thai League Cup
26.02.25	Nongbua Pitchaya - Nakhon Pathom United	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
24.11.24	Nongbua Pitchaya - Chiangrai United	0:2
28.01.23	Nongbua Pitchaya - Chiangrai United	1:2
28.08.22	Chiangrai United - Nongbua Pitchaya	2:0
20.02.22	Chiangrai United - Nongbua Pitchaya	2:1
09.10.21	Nongbua Pitchaya - Chiangrai United	1:2

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