Match Info

Thai League 1 - Round 27

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Pitchaya Stadium (Nong Bua Lam Phu)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	SPOTV Now
Thailand	True Ball Thai 3


	Nongbua Pitchaya		Sukhothai

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	3.5	3.1
	2.05	3.45	3.1
	2.06	3.39	3.24	Watch
	2.04	3.26	3.31	Watch
	2.05	3.45	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.94)	3.41 ↓ (3.58)	3.17 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nongbua Pitchaya
44.8%

Draw
26.6%

Sukhothai
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

25.4%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

24.3%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nongbua Pitchaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Sukhothai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nongbua Pitchaya than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sukhothai than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Nongbua Pitchaya - Sukhothai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Jamsuwan K. (C) 18. Jujeen A. 27. Marom W. 46. Jorge Felipe 3. Palachom T. 7. Lukthong N. 19. Judivan 6. Posri S. 14. Phochai T. 23. Haber M. 30. Sriwichai W.	99. Saensuk K. (G) 2. Logarwit S. 93. Claudio 22. Kanlayanabandit S. 16. Phatthaphon P. 17. Mhuaddarak T. (C) 7. Thiamrat L. 21. Denman A. 5. Matsui H. 35. Chatthong S. 8. Aranpiroj R.
Substitutes
10. Chawin S. 11. Conrado 29. Fomthaisong A. 31. Goonchorn P. (G) 88. Harntes A. 2. Lyngbo S. 8. Park Jong-Woo 26. Sathaporn W. 69. Seekaewnit P. 16. Songma J. 17. Songma J. 20. Tanee W.	10. Baggio J. 13. Beraheng A. 18. Hnupichai S. (G) 14. Ishimoto E. 39. Kamnet N. 19. Ngrnbukkol A. 91. Phranmaen T. 15. Promsupa S. 4. Seebunmee A. 3. Suksakit P. 23. Tisud C. 6. Wachpirom J.
Coaches
Yothee S.	Chalitaporn A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Phochai T. ↓, Songma J. ↑,
46', Posri S. ↓, Tanee W. ↑,
46', Lukthong N. ↓, Seekaewnit P. ↑,
46', Matsui H. ↓, Phranmaen T. ↑,
55', Kanlayanabandit S. 🟥,
57', Thiamrat L. ↓, Ngrnbukkol A. ↑,
57', Aranpiroj R. ↓, Suksakit P. ↑,
67', Jujeen A. ↓, Songma J. ↑,
69', Denman A. ↓, Baggio J. ↑,
79', Phranmaen T. 🟨,
84', 0 - 1, Baggio J. ⚽,
85', Sriwichai W. ↓, Chawin S. ↑,
90+3', Phatthaphon P. ↓, Promsupa S. ↑,
90+4', Saensuk K. 🟨,
90+6', Baggio J. 🟨,
90+11', 1 - 1, Jorge Felipe ⚽, Songma J. (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 9).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Nongbua Pitchaya will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Nongbua Pitchaya won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:6 (average 1:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Nongbua Pitchaya won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nongbua Pitchaya FC
Thai League 1
15.03.25	Khonkaen United - Nongbua Pitchaya	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Ratchaburi - Nongbua Pitchaya	4:0 ✺
01.03.25	Nongbua Pitchaya - Rayong FC	1:1 ✺
Thai League Cup
26.02.25	Nongbua Pitchaya - Nakhon Pathom United	1:0 penalties ✺
Thai League 1
23.02.25	Bangkok United - Nongbua Pitchaya	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLTWL
- Sukhothai FC
Thai League 1
15.03.25	Sukhothai - Ratchaburi	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Rayong FC - Sukhothai	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Sukhothai - Bangkok United	1:3 ✺
21.02.25	Nakhon Ratchasima - Sukhothai	2:2 ✺
15.02.25	Sukhothai - Nakhon Pathom United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
08.11.24	Sukhothai - Nongbua Pitchaya	5:2
29.04.23	Nongbua Pitchaya - Sukhothai	1:1
19.11.22	Sukhothai - Nongbua Pitchaya	0:0

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