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Current Win Probability
Chicago Fire 46.6%
Draw 27.9%
FC Dallas 25.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.4%
27.5%
25.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.2%
28.5%
24.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Fire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
FC Dallas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Chicago Fire - FC Dallas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Chicago has the most likely position - 8 (9.44%), has project points - 48, has currently - 8, has a good chance of playoffs (55%), has a very small chance of first-round bye (5%), has a very small chance of supporters shield (2%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Dallas has the most likely position - 4 (9.41%), has project points - 49, has currently - 7, has a good chance of playoffs (59%), has a small chance of first-round bye (7%), has a very small chance of supporters shield (3%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).
This event has quality40, small importance20, small match rating30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Chicago won 2.
Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
Recently Dallas have a series of home games.
Chicago will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Chicago won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Chicago won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-1.