The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chicago Fire 70%
Draw 18.1%
Sporting Kansas City 11.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69%
19.2%
11.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.6%
18.2%
11.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Sporting Kansas City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Chicago Fire - Sporting Kansas City Predictions
Users Predictions:
Chicago Fire will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Brady C. (G) 24. Dean J. 16. Waterman J. 3. Elliott J. (C) 15. Gutman A. 7. Haile-Selassie M. 42. D'Avilla D. 6. Saletros A. 11. Zinckernagel P. 9. Cuypers H. 12. Dithejane P.
1. Pulskamp J. (G) 8. Davis J. 2. James I. 23. Bartlow E. 15. Miller J. 20. Agyabeng K. 11. Harris C. 4. Johnsen L. 6. Garcia M. 7. Capita 9. Joveljic D.
Substitutes
27. Borso D. 44. Cohen J. (G) 17. Lod R. 4. Mbokazi M. 35. Oregel S. 22. Pineda M. 29. Poreba D. 14. Radojevic V. 20. Shokalook J.
17. Afrifa S. 16. Bartlett J. 19. Calheira T. 30. Cleveland S. (G) 12. Kortkamp J. (G) 28. Meyer W. 99. Reid J. 93. Suleymanov S. 14. Tschantret M.
Coaches
Berhalter G.
Wicky R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Gutman A. 🟨,
2nd Half (5 - 0)
51', Cuypers H. (Penalty Awarded),
51', 1 - 0, Zinckernagel P. ⚽,
61', Dithejane P. ↓, Lod R. ↑,
65', 2 - 0, Zinckernagel P. ⚽, Haile-Selassie M. (A), Lod R. (A2)
73', 3 - 0, Cuypers H. ⚽, Zinckernagel P. (A), Haile-Selassie M. (A2)
74', James I. ↓, Meyer W. ↑,
75', Harris C. ↓, Afrifa S. ↑,
76', Saletros A. ↓, Oregel S. ↑,
76', Zinckernagel P. ↓, Shokalook J. ↑,
79', 4 - 0, Haile-Selassie M. ⚽, Gutman A. (A), Shokalook J. (A2)
84', Gutman A. ↓, Radojevic V. ↑,
84', D'Avilla D. ↓, Pineda M. ↑,
86', Capita ↓, Bartlett J. ↑,
90+8', 5 - 0, Cuypers H. ⚽, Elliott J. (A), Haile-Selassie M. (A2)
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 2.
Chicago is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Kansas City has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Kansas City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Chicago is the clear favorite.
There will not play in Chicago: Bamba J.
(Inactive)
Barroso L.
(Injury)
Franco A.
(Knee Injury)
Mueller C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There will not play in Kansas City: Bassong Z.
(Muscle Injury)
Cleveland S.
(Ankle Injury)
Meyer W.
(Knee Injury)
Schewe R.
(Hand Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 0.9:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.6:1.3).
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Brady C. (G) 
Waterman J. 
Elliott J. (C) 
Haile-Selassie M. 
D'Avilla D. 
Saletros A. 
Zinckernagel P. 
Cuypers H. 
Dithejane P. 
Agyabeng K. 
Johnsen L. 
Garcia M. 
Capita 
Joveljic D. 
Lod R. 
Poreba D. 
Suleymanov S. 
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