Match Info

MLS

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Toyota Stadium (Frisco, TX)

Referee: Ford T. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV International


	FC Dallas		Toronto FC

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.7	3.7	Watch
	2.2	3.5	2.95
	1.98	3.7	3.55	Watch
	2.13	3.68	3.29
	2.03	3.72	3.42	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.5
	2.03	3.72	3.72	Watch
	2.2	3.6	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.33)	3.63 ↑ (3.57)	3.39 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Dallas
46.1%

Draw
26%

Toronto FC
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

26.5%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Dallas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in FC Dallas's performance.

Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toronto FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

FC Dallas - Toronto FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Dallas will win (votes: 7 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dallas (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Toronto (2.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Dallas (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Toronto (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Collodi M. (G) 18. Moore S. 25. Ibeagha S. 3. Urhoghide O. 77. Kamungo B. 14. Johansson H. 55. Kaick 17. Ramiro 12. Cappis C. 9. Musa P. 23. Farrington L.	1. Gavran L. (G) 22. Laryea R. 6. Thompson K. 25. Zimmerman W. 19. Franklin K. 78. Henry M. 14. Coello A. 8. Cifuentes J. 21. Osorio J. 11. Etienne D. 10. Mihailovic D.
Substitutes
5. Abubakar L. 6. Binyamin R. 7. Deedson L. 8. Delgado P. 11. Julio Santos A. A. 15. Louis R. 32. Norris N. 28. Sarver S. 31. Thompson B. (G)	17. Aristizabal E. 71. Cimermancic M. 44. Edwards R. 16. Pearlman A. 20. Salloi D. 76. Stefanovic L. 99. Vilsaint J. 2. Wingo H. 23. Yarbrough W. (G)
Coaches
Quill E.	Fraser R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Musa P. ⚽, Urhoghide O. (A),
15', 1 - 1, Mihailovic D. ⚽, Osorio J. (A), Etienne D. (A2)
21', Henry M. 🟨,
38', 2 - 1, Farrington L. ⚽,
45+4', Musa P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Coello A. ↓, Edwards R. ↑,
54', Henry M. ↓, Salloi D. ↑,
67', 2 - 2, Etienne D. ⚽,
71', Johansson H. ↓, Deedson L. ↑,
72', Kaick ↓, Delgado P. ↑,
74', 3 - 2, Musa P. ⚽, Farrington L. (A), Kamungo B. (A2)
77', Franklin K. ↓, Aristizabal E. ↑,
77', Etienne D. ↓, Wingo H. ↑,
82', Farrington L. ↓, Julio Santos A. A. ↑,
90+2', Cappis C. ↓, Binyamin R. ↑,
90+5', Edwards R. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 3.

Toronto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Dallas will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Toronto: Monlouis Z. (Lower-Body Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Dallas won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 2:0.8).

Outrights of MLS for now

FC Dallas: 4.03% Toronto FC: 0.69%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dallas
Club Friendly
14.02.26	Atlanta United - FC Dallas	0:0 ✺
Atlantic Cup
30.01.26	Real Salt Lake - FC Dallas	0:2 ✺
26.01.26	Brøndby - FC Dallas	2:5 ✺
MLS
01.11.25	FC Dallas - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:2 penalties ✺
26.10.25	Vancouver Whitecaps - FC Dallas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWWLL
- Toronto FC
Club Friendly
11.02.26	Toronto FC - Fredrikstad	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Toronto FC - AIK	2:2 ✺
MLS
18.10.25	Toronto FC - Orlando City	4:2 ✺
08.10.25	Los Angeles - Toronto FC	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Chicago Fire - Toronto FC	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

MLS
04.05.24	Toronto FC - FC Dallas	3:1
26.02.22	FC Dallas - Toronto FC	1:1
22.06.19	FC Dallas - Toronto FC	3:0
25.05.18	Toronto FC - FC Dallas	0:1
01.07.17	FC Dallas - Toronto FC	3:1
07.05.16	Toronto FC - FC Dallas	1:0
18.04.15	FC Dallas - Toronto FC	3:2

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