Match Info

MLS - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Soldier Field (Chicago, IL)

Referee: Fischer D. (Can)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	Amazon Prime Video
China	QQ Sports
Italy	Amazon Prime Video
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC


	Chicago Fire		Orlando City

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.8	3.2	Watch
	2.12	3.7	3.15	Watch
	2.12	3.9	3.27
	2.06	3.80	3.16	Watch
	2.19	3.79	3.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.97)	3.8 ↓ (4.01)	3.18 ↓ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chicago Fire
45.1%

Draw
25%

Orlando City
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

24%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

24.3%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chicago Fire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Chicago Fire - Orlando City Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Chicago will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Orlando City will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brady C. (G) 24. Dean J. 3. Elliott J. (C) 16. Waterman J. 15. Gutman A. 35. Oregel S. 42. D'Avilla D. 17. Gutierrez B. 11. Zinckernagel P. 9. Cuypers H. 19. Bamba J.	1. Gallese P. (G) 30. Freeman A. 15. Schlegel R. 6. Jansson R. (C) 4. Brekalo D. 87. Pasalic M. 20. Atuesta E. 5. Araujo C. 77. Angulo I. 13. McGuire D. 10. Ojeda M.
Substitutes
23. Acosta K. 12. Barlow T. 25. Gal J. (G) 34. Gonzalez O. 7. Haile-Selassie M. 6. Kouame R. 22. Pineda M. 36. Reynolds J. 5. Rogers S.	25. Guske C. 21. Marin A. 9. Muriel L. 12. Otero J. (G) 11. Rodriguez N. 24. Smith K. 14. Spicer T. 96. Taifi Z. 17. Thorhallsson D.
Coaches
Berhalter G.	Pareja O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Gutman A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
48', 1 - 0, Gutierrez B. ⚽, Dean J. (A), Zinckernagel P. (A2)
56', Angulo I. ↓, Spicer T. ↑,
56', 2 - 0, Cuypers H. ⚽,
58', Atuesta E. 🟨,
67', 3 - 0, Cuypers H. ⚽, Zinckernagel P. (A), Bamba J. (A2)
69', Pasalic M. ↓, Muriel L. ↑,
74', Schlegel R. 🟨,
75', Araujo C. ↓, Guske C. ↑,
75', Schlegel R. ↓, Marin A. ↑,
81', Oregel S. ↓, Kouame R. ↑,
81', Bamba J. ↓, Haile-Selassie M. ↑,
86', Gutierrez B. ↓, Acosta K. ↑,
89', 3 - 1, Spicer T. ⚽, Marin A. (A),
90', Brekalo D. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 1.

Chicago is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Orlando City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Orlando City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Chicago: Barroso L. (Lower-Body Injury) Franco A. (Lower-Body Injury) Mueller C. (Health problems) Radojevic V. (Lower-Body Injury)

There will not play in Orlando City: Caraballo G. (Leg Injury) Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Gerbet J. (Knee Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Orlando City: Jansson R. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:27. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.6:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chicago Fire
MLS
18.10.25	New England Revolution - Chicago Fire	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	Chicago Fire - Toronto FC	2:2 ✺
30.09.25	Inter Miami - Chicago Fire	3:5 ✺
27.09.25	Chicago Fire - Columbus Crew	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Minnesota United - Chicago Fire	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 TTWWW
- Orlando City
MLS
18.10.25	Toronto FC - Orlando City	4:2 ✺
11.10.25	Orlando City - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Orlando City - Columbus Crew	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Cincinnati - Orlando City	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Orlando City - Nashville SC	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
31.05.25	Orlando City - Chicago Fire	1:3
03.05.25	Chicago Fire - Orlando City	0:0
22.06.24	Orlando City - Chicago Fire	4:2
29.05.24	Chicago Fire - Orlando City	1:1
20.08.23	Chicago Fire - Orlando City	1:3
01.07.23	Orlando City - Chicago Fire	3:1
09.04.22	Orlando City - Chicago Fire	1:0

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