The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chicago Fire II 33.4%
Draw 23%
Chattanooga 43.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.1%
24.2%
37.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.2%
24.3%
37.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Fire II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
Chattanooga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chattanooga's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire II than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chattanooga than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chattanooga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Chicago Fire II - Chattanooga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
60. Nemo J. (G) 76. Napoe M. 48. Fleming R. (C) 30. Sandmeyer J. 55. Nigg D. 66. Nagle C. 65. Pineda O. 37. Turdean R. 58. Williams B. 68. Glyut V. 28. Boltz D.
1. Jakupovic E. (G) 2. Tcheuyap Y. 14. Koehler N. 5. Sar-Sar F. 6. Louis S. 33. McGrath A. 18. Husakiwsky L. 3. Robertson T. 9. Barker D. 23. Krehl A. 10. Mangarov D.
Substitutes
61. Bernhardt H. 54. Chavez E. 45. Clark M. 41. Diawara T. 78. Gongadze G. (G) 34. Gonzalez O. 49. Montiel J. 72. Villanueva D.
21. Amoateng F. 51. Barrueta M. (G) 90. Cohen Y. 7. Garcia A. 19. Gordon A. 4. Hanchard M. 47. Jones I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Pineda O. 🟨,
37', Williams B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Boltz D. ↓, Diawara T. ↑,
47', Glyut V. ↓, Villanueva D. ↑,
52', 0 - 1, McGrath A. ⚽,
66', Nagle C. ↓, Bernhardt H. ↑,
66', Turdean R. ↓, Montiel J. ↑,
67', Mangarov D. ↓, Gordon A. ↑,
67', Louis S. ↓, Hanchard M. ↑,
76', Husakiwsky L. ↓, Jones I. ↑,
76', Barker D. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
84', Krehl A. 🟨,
88', Napoe M. ↓, Chavez E. ↑,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 13th and 2nd in the Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro Playoffs1/8~finals)).
Chattanooga is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals).
Chicago Fire II is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Chattanooga have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Chicago Fire II could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Chicago Fire II has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:5 (averaging 1.8:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chicago Fire II against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:2 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Chattanooga - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 37.65%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
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Nemo J. (G) 
Nigg D. 
Pineda O. 
Williams B. 
Glyut V. 
Tcheuyap Y. 
Sar-Sar F. 
Louis S. 
McGrath A. 
Barker D. 
Clark M. 
Diawara T. 
Montiel J. 
Amoateng F. 
Gordon A. 
Jones I. 
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