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Current Win Probability
Chicago Fire II 54.9%
Draw 21.8%
New York City II 23.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.7%
19.6%
21.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.5%
18.7%
20.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Fire II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
New York City II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire II than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chicago Fire II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City II than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Chicago Fire II - New York City II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Dowd B. (G) 27. Borso D. 38. Cupps C. 41. Diouf J. 54. Kanyane G. 47. Williams S. 45. Osorio H. 48. Fleming R. 49. Montiel J. 44. Shokalook J. 55. Nigg D.
44. Rando A. (G) 38. Baiera A. 23. Murray M. 33. Amponsah P. 68. Tiao C. 71. Molinari P. 78. Lim E. 42. Elias P. 29. Carrizo M. 81. Musu S. 75. Guarino E.
Substitutes
64. Herrera E. 57. Hyte D. 43. Oyegunle O. 29. Poreba D. 91. Pratt O. (G) 46. Zapata Calle J.
56. Bilden J. 58. Infuso P. 80. Klein B. (G) 64. Lacher J. 70. Learned M. (G) 87. Loura J. 73. McCamy C. 83. Ponce J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
3', Dowd B. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Shokalook J. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Shokalook J. ⚽,
37', 2 - 1, Fleming R. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 4)
48', Diouf J. 🟨,
54', 2 - 2, Musu S. ⚽,
61', Osorio H. ↓, Poreba D. ↑,
63', Murray M. ↓, Infuso P. ↑,
64', Williams S. 🟨,
67', Lim E. ↓, Ponce J. ↑,
70', 3 - 2, Poreba D. ⚽,
72', 3 - 3, Musu S. ⚽,
72', Nigg D. ↓, Hyte D. ↑,
72', Kanyane G. ↓, Herrera E. ↑,
76', 3 - 4, Musu S. (Pen),
77', Guarino E. ↓, Bilden J. ↑,
77', Elias P. ↓, McCamy C. ↑,
80', 4 - 4, Shokalook J. ⚽,
89', 4 - 5, Ponce J. ⚽,
89', Ponce J. 🟨,
90+2', Carrizo M. ↓, Loura J. ↑,
90+3', Musu S. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
Chicago Fire II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago Fire II won 1.
Chicago Fire II is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
New York City II has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Chicago Fire II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Chicago Fire II is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Chicago Fire II will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Chicago Fire II won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 2.3:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Chicago Fire II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 2.5:2).
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Dowd B. (G) 
Diouf J. 
Kanyane G. 
Osorio H. 
Montiel J. 
Nigg D. 
Amponsah P. 
Tiao C. 
Musu S. 
Oyegunle O. 
Poreba D. 
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