Match Info

MLS Next Pro - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: MSU Soccer Park (New York, NY)


	New York Red Bulls 2		Chicago Fire II

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	4.25	4.45	Watch
	1.59	4.23	4.51
	1.64	4.17	4.40	Watch
	1.58	4.1	4.51	Watch
	1.69	3.47	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.69)	4.04 ↑ (3.47)	4.41 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York Red Bulls 2
56.6%

Draw
22.6%

Chicago Fire II
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

25.8%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

25%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Red Bulls 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Chicago Fire II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls 2 than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire II than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

New York Red Bulls 2 - Chicago Fire II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Causey A. (G) 20. Mina J. 34. Gutierrez J. 50. Collahuazo J. 56. Dos Santos M. 80. Worth N. 77. Mehmeti A. 39. Benedetti N. 79. Mosquera R. 33. Mitchell R. 70. Rojas A.	90. Molenda D. (G) 48. Fleming R. 52. Pfrommer J. 41. Diouf J. 54. Kanyane G. 29. Poreba D. 66. Nagle C. 47. Williams S. 27. Borso D. 44. Shokalook J. 55. Nigg D.
Substitutes
91. Jimenez M. 52. Modelo A. 92. Nelich D. 24. Ofori C. 83. Rodriguez B. 66. Rosborough T. 35. Schwarz B. 97. Scuro R. 72. Szewczyk T. (G)	62. Berg H. 28. Boltz D. 58. Brody W. 64. Herrera E. 76. Napoe M. 91. Pratt O. (G) 37. Turdean R. 46. Zapata Calle J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
5', 1 - 0, Rojas A. ⚽, Mosquera R. (A),
6', 1 - 1, Shokalook J. ⚽, Diouf J. (A),
25', 2 - 1, Mitchell R. ⚽, Mina J. (A),
28', 2 - 2, Shokalook J. ⚽,
42', 3 - 2, Collahuazo J. ⚽, Worth N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 3 - 3, Williams S. ⚽, Pfrommer J. (A),
71', Mitchell R. ↓, Jimenez M. ↑,
80', Mina J. 🟨,
89', Shokalook J. 🟨,
Extra Time (2 - 0)
97', Rojas A. 🟨,
102', Diouf J. 🟨,
106', Dos Santos M. ↓, Ofori C. ↑,
111', 4 - 3, Rojas A. ⚽, Benedetti N. (A),
112', Borso D. ↓, Boltz D. ↑,
112', Pfrommer J. ↓, Berg H. ↑,
117', Benedetti N. ↓, Rosborough T. ↑,
120+2', 5 - 3, Jimenez M. ⚽, Mosquera R. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New York Red Bulls 2 won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, New York Red Bulls 2 is a strong favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, New York Red Bulls 2 won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:26. (average 3:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, New York Red Bulls 2 won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:15. (average 3.8:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Red Bulls 2
MLS Next Pro
19.10.25	New York Red Bulls 2 - Carolina Core	5:1 ✺
05.10.25	New York Red Bulls 2 - Toronto FC II	2:1 ✺
01.10.25	Cincinnati 2 - New York Red Bulls 2	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	New York Red Bulls 2 - Inter Miami II	1:2 penalties ✺
13.09.25	Huntsville City - New York Red Bulls 2	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLLW
- Chicago Fire II
MLS Next Pro
19.10.25	New England Revolution II - Chicago Fire II	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Columbus Crew 2 - Chicago Fire II	3:4 penalties ✺
28.09.25	Chicago Fire II - Atlanta United II	2:5 ✺
21.09.25	Philadelphia Union II - Chicago Fire II	5:2 ✺
14.09.25	Chicago Fire II - New York City II	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

MLS Next Pro
24.08.25	New York Red Bulls 2 - Chicago Fire II	1:0
27.07.25	Chicago Fire II - New York Red Bulls 2	9:2
06.04.25	New York Red Bulls 2 - Chicago Fire II	3:2
13.09.24	Chicago Fire II - New York Red Bulls 2	2:1
04.08.24	New York Red Bulls 2 - Chicago Fire II	4:3
14.04.24	New York Red Bulls 2 - Chicago Fire II	6:5 penalties
01.10.23	New York Red Bulls 2 - Chicago Fire II	4:1

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