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Current Win Probability
Chieti 72.8%
Draw 18.2%
Fermana 9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.3%
19.1%
11.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.4%
18.5%
11.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chieti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
Fermana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chieti than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fermana than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Chieti - Fermana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Valsecchi P. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 1 - 1, Di Filippo N. ⚽,
77', 🟥,
90+1', 2 - 1, Forgione C. ⚽,
90+5', 🟥,
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).
Chieti is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recent matches Fermana is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Chieti could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Chieti is certain favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Chieti won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.5:3).
Including matches at home between the teams Chieti won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.5:3).