Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 19

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Guido Angelini (Chieti)


	Chieti		Sora

	1	X	2
	3.45	3.1	2
	6.12	3.91	1.48	Watch
	6.89	3.82	1.44
	3.33	3.14	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.95 ↑ (2.64)	3.49 ↑ (3.33)	1.75 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chieti
19.1%

Draw
27%

Sora
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

27.1%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

27.3%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chieti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chieti's form might have worsened.

Sora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sora's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chieti than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chieti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sora than the current prediction. (-15.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sora, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chieti - Sora Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
25', 0 - 1, ⚽,
35', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
59', 1 - 2, ⚽,
72', 2 - 2, ⚽,
85', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: ) and 11).

Chieti has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Sora has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Chieti has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Chieti won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Chieti won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chieti Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
04.01.26	Fossombrone - Chieti	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Maceratese - Chieti	4:0 ✺
14.12.25	Chieti - Vigor Senigallia	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Giulianova - Chieti	3:2 ✺
30.11.25	UniPomezia - Chieti	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT
- ASD GC Sora
Italian Serie D - Group F
04.01.26	Sora - Giulianova	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Sora - Castelfidardo	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	UniPomezia - Sora	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Sora - Recanatese	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	San Marino Calcio - Sora	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
14.09.25	Sora - Chieti	3:3
09.03.25	Chieti - Sora	0:2
03.11.24	Sora - Chieti	1:1
04.02.24	Chieti - Sora	1:1

Chieti - Sora: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide