Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 17

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday


	Maceratese		Chieti

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.35	2.72
	1.82	3.43	3.98	Watch
	1.85	3.1	3.9
	1.81	3.38	3.96
	1.81	3.33	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.29)	3.32 ↓ (3.34)	3.71 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maceratese
47.8%

Draw
27.6%

Chieti
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

27.2%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

25.8%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maceratese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maceratese's performance.

Chieti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chieti might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maceratese than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maceratese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chieti than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chieti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Maceratese - Chieti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Marras N. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 0, Ruani E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
90+5', 3 - 0, ⚽,
90+5', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).

Recent performances by Maceratese have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Chieti is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Maceratese could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Maceratese
Italian Serie D - Group F
14.12.25	Giulianova - Maceratese	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Maceratese - UniPomezia	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Recanatese - Maceratese	2:2 ✺
23.11.25	Maceratese - Castelfidardo	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	San Marino Calcio - Maceratese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWTWL
- Chieti Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
14.12.25	Chieti - Vigor Senigallia	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Giulianova - Chieti	3:2 ✺
30.11.25	UniPomezia - Chieti	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Chieti - Ostia Mare	1:3 ✺
16.11.25	Recanatese - Chieti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL

Maceratese - Chieti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide