Match Info
Serie D - Group F - Round 17Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday
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 |
|
 |
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Sora |
|
Castelfidardo |
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|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.2 |
3.4 |
2.78 |
|
 |
2.24 |
3.41 |
2.83 |
Watch |
 |
2.25 |
3.3 |
2.83 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.23 (2.23) |
3.37 ↑ (3.36) |
2.81 ↓ (2.82) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sora 40.7% | Draw 27% | Castelfidardo 32.3% |
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Sora have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.The chances for Castelfidardo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sora than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (-1.1%)Sora - Castelfidardo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 19', 0 - 1, Abagnale G. ⚽,
- 45+6', 1 - 1, Trotta M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', 2 - 1, Trotta M. ⚽,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).Both teams are struggling and far from their best. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sora won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).Including home match between the teams, Sora won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;