Match Info

Date: 10 February 2021, Wednesday


	Chievo		Reggiana

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.1	6.5	Watch
	1.48	4.1	7.25
	1.48	4	7.4	Watch
	1.52	3.85	6
	1.52	4.15	7.58
	1.47	4	7.5
	1.5	4.2	6.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.46)	4.06 ↓ (4.23)	7.02 ↓ (7.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chievo
63.2%

Draw
23.3%

Reggiana
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

22.3%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

13%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chievo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Reggiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chievo than the current prediction. (-25.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chievo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Reggiana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.6%	14.3%	8.2%

Chievo - Reggiana Predictions

Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Chievo will win (votes: 38 - 77.6%). Reggiana will win (votes: 4 - 8.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chievo: 65.9% – 89.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion to Serie B (Play Offs: Quartertofinals) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Chievo has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (67%), has a chance of promoted (36%), has a small chance of win league (9%).

Reggiana has a good chance of relegated (65%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Chievo is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Reggiana is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Reggiana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Chievo is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Chievo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Chievo
Italian Serie B
06.02.21	Salernitana - Chievo	1:1 ✺
31.01.21	Chievo - Pescara	3:1 ✺
27.01.21	Chievo - Cittadella	2:1 ✺
23.01.21	Ascoli - Chievo	0:0 ✺
19.01.21	Vicenza Virtus - Chievo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWWTT
- AC Reggiana 1919
Italian Serie B
07.02.21	Reggiana - Virtus Entella	2:1 ✺
30.01.21	Pisa - Reggiana	1:0 ✺
23.01.21	Reggiana - Vicenza Virtus	2:1 ✺
18.01.21	SPAL - Reggiana	2:0 ✺
09.01.21	Reggiana - Cittadella	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
17.10.20	Reggiana - Chievo	0:1

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