The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Salernitana 25.2%
Draw 30.6%
Chievo 44.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.2%
31.2%
40.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.7%
22.9%
55.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Chievo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chievo than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chievo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
34.3%
37.1%
Salernitana - Chievo Predictions
Users Predictions:
35 users predict this event. Salernitana will win (votes: 10 - 28.6%). Chievo will win (votes: 13 - 37.1%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 34.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Chievo: 21.1% – 53.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion to Serie B (Play Offs: Semitofinals) and 3 in the zone Promotion to Serie B (Play Offs: Semitofinals)).
Salernitana has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (60%), has a small chance of promoted (12%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Chievo has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (67%), has a chance of promoted (35%), has a small chance of win league (9%).
Salernitana is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Chievo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Salernitana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Chievo will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Salernitana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.