The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ascoli 17.3%
Draw 27.2%
Chievo 55.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.7%
29.9%
49.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.1%
18.7%
30.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
Chievo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chievo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+15.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ascoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chievo than the current prediction. (-24.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chievo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.1%
16.1%
67.7%
Ascoli - Chievo Predictions
Users Predictions:
31 users predict this event. Ascoli will win (votes: 5 - 16.1%). Chievo will win (votes: 21 - 67.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Chievo: 51.2% – 84.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 7 in the zone Promotion to Serie B (Play Offs: Quartertofinals)).
Ascoli has a good chance of relegated (75%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Chievo has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (65%), has a chance of promoted (29%), has a small chance of win league (7%).
Recent matches Ascoli is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Chievo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Chievo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Chievo is a favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Ascoli won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
Watch
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