The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chievo 39.5%
Draw 31.4%
Cittadella 29.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.3%
32.3%
28.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.1%
24.4%
21.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chievo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Cittadella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chievo than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chievo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cittadella, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
17.1%
25.7%
Chievo - Cittadella Predictions
Users Predictions:
35 users predict this event. Chievo will win (votes: 20 - 57.1%). Cittadella will win (votes: 9 - 25.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 17.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Chievo: 40.7% – 73.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion to Serie B (Play Offs: Quartertofinals) and 4 in the zone Promotion to Serie B (Play Offs: Semitofinals)).
Chievo has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (65%), has a chance of promoted (27%), has a small chance of win league (6%).
Cittadella has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (61%), has a chance of promoted (43%), has a small chance of win league (14%).
Chievo is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recent matches Cittadella is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Cittadella could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Chievo will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Chievo won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Chievo won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.
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