Match Info

Date: 18 January 2021, Monday


	SPAL		Reggiana

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	6	Watch
	1.53	4.1	6
	1.52	3.9	6.75	Watch
	1.54	3.85	5.6
	1.54	4.15	6.97
	1.52	4	6.5
	1.54	4.3	5.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.49)	4.04 ↓ (4.08)	6.25 ↓ (6.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SPAL
61.6%

Draw
23.3%

Reggiana
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

23.1%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74%

19.7%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SPAL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Reggiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SPAL, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.1%	8.5%	8.5%

SPAL - Reggiana Predictions

Users Predictions: SPAL will win (59 of 71 users predict this - 83.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.38% – 91.82%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion to Serie B (Play Offs: Quartertofinals) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

SPAL has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (64%), has a chance of promoted (30%), has a small chance of win league (8%).

Reggiana has a good chance of relegated (65%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches SPAL is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Reggiana has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

SPAL could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match SPAL is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches SPAL won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SPAL 2013
Coppa Italia
14.01.21	Sassuolo - SPAL	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie B
04.01.21	Frosinone - SPAL	1:2 ✺
30.12.20	SPAL - Brescia	2:3 ✺
27.12.20	Ascoli - SPAL	2:0 ✺
22.12.20	SPAL - Lecce	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WWLLW
- AC Reggiana 1919
Italian Serie B
09.01.21	Reggiana - Cittadella	0:2 ✺
04.01.21	Reggiana - Pescara	0:1 ✺
30.12.20	Pordenone - Reggiana	3:0 ✺
27.12.20	Reggiana - Reggina	0:1 ✺
22.12.20	Empoli - Reggiana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
18.11.15	Reggiana - SPAL	0:1
Italian Serie C Group B
09.05.15	Reggiana - SPAL	0:2
05.01.15	SPAL - Reggiana	0:1

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