Match Info

National League South - Round 36

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday


	Chippenham Town		Maidenhead United

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.5	1.82
	4.39	3.82	1.78
	3.79	3.82	1.84	Watch
	4.2	3.5	1.75
	4.28	3.66	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.09 ↓ (4.51)	3.66 ↓ (3.86)	1.79 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chippenham Town
22.7%

Draw
25.4%

Maidenhead United
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

24.1%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

23.1%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chippenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Maidenhead United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chippenham Town than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maidenhead United than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maidenhead United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chippenham Town - Maidenhead United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Parsons H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Chippenham has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Maidenhead is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Chippenham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Maidenhead is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chippenham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Chippenham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of English National League South for now

Maidenhead: 2.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Maidenhead	10	3	4	3	12:11	1	13

Last Results with these Odds

Chippenham Town - the odds 4.51 are the expected chance of winning is 20.61%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chippenham Town
English National League South
25.02.26	Farnborough - Chippenham Town	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Tonbridge Angels - Chippenham Town	3:2 ✺
17.02.26	Salisbury - Chippenham Town	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Chippenham Town - Maidstone United	1:0 ✺
10.02.26	Chippenham Town - Torquay United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 LLLWW
- Maidenhead United
English National League South
24.02.26	Maidenhead United - Salisbury	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Maidenhead United - Dagenham & Redbridge	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Torquay United - Maidenhead United	1:1 ✺
10.02.26	Tonbridge Angels - Maidenhead United	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Maidenhead United - Farnborough	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
29.11.25	Maidenhead United - Chippenham Town	3:0
English FA Cup
23.10.18	Maidenhead United - Chippenham Town	1:0
20.10.18	Chippenham Town - Maidenhead United	1:1

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