Match Info

National League South - Round 34

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Tonbridge Angels		Chippenham Town

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.45	3.65
	2.02	3.42	3.43
	1.85	3.75	3.83	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.8
	1.83	3.67	3.98
	2	3.4	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.03)	3.52 ↓ (3.66)	3.68 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tonbridge Angels
48.5%

Draw
26.3%

Chippenham Town
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

25.4%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

24.4%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tonbridge Angels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Chippenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tonbridge Angels than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chippenham Town than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Tonbridge Angels - Chippenham Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tonbridge will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Chippenham will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tonbridge (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
3', 1 - 0, McCann N. ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, Haines L. ⚽,
34', 2 - 1, Sutcliffe E. ⚽,
39', 2 - 2, Touray E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 3 - 2, Pavey A. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 18 and 23 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tonbridge won 2.

Tonbridge is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chippenham has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Chippenham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tonbridge will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Tonbridge won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:9. (average 1.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tonbridge won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:3. (average 2.3:0.5).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Tonbridge: 2.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Tonbridge	10	4	2	4	19:11	8	14

Last Results with these Odds

Chippenham Town - the odds 3.22 are the expected chance of winning is 28.85%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tonbridge Angels
English National League South
14.02.26	Hornchurch - Tonbridge Angels	3:2 ✺
10.02.26	Tonbridge Angels - Maidenhead United	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Tonbridge Angels - Maidstone United	1:1 ✺
26.01.26	Chelmsford City - Tonbridge Angels	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Slough Town - Tonbridge Angels	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLTLW
- Chippenham Town
English National League South
17.02.26	Salisbury - Chippenham Town	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Chippenham Town - Maidstone United	1:0 ✺
10.02.26	Chippenham Town - Torquay United	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Dagenham & Redbridge - Chippenham Town	4:2 ✺
31.01.26	Chippenham Town - Chesham United	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
22.11.25	Chippenham Town - Tonbridge Angels	1:0
11.01.25	Tonbridge Angels - Chippenham Town	1:1
07.09.24	Chippenham Town - Tonbridge Angels	0:0
03.02.24	Tonbridge Angels - Chippenham Town	2:0
19.08.23	Chippenham Town - Tonbridge Angels	1:2
22.04.23	Chippenham Town - Tonbridge Angels	2:2
22.10.22	Tonbridge Angels - Chippenham Town	2:0

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