Match Info

Date: 1 April 2024, Monday


	Chirk AAA		Porthmadog

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.75	1.9
	3.1	3.8	1.92
	3.1	3.8	1.93
	3.29	3.8	1.89
	3.3	3.85	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.87)	3.8 ↑ (3.72)	1.89 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chirk AAA
28.3%

Draw
23.9%

Porthmadog
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

24.5%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

22.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chirk AAA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Porthmadog has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chirk AAA than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chirk AAA, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porthmadog than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Porthmadog, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Edwards R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 1 - 1, Williams R. ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Chirk AAA is Relegated to

Recent matches Chirk AAA is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Porthmadog is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Porthmadog could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Porthmadog will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Chirk AAA won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Chirk AAA won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chirk AAA
Welsh Cymru North
29.03.24	Llanidloes Town - Chirk AAA	1:2 ✺
23.03.24	Chirk AAA - Caersws	2:2 ✺
16.03.24	Chirk AAA - Llandudno	3:2 ✺
08.03.24	Denbigh Town - Chirk AAA	6:1 ✺
02.03.24	Chirk AAA - Mold Alexandra	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WTWLL
- Porthmadog FC
Welsh Cymru North
29.03.24	Porthmadog - Airbus UK Broughton	0:3 ✺
16.03.24	Guilsfield - Porthmadog	4:0 ✺
09.03.24	Porthmadog - Buckley Town	1:3 ✺
02.03.24	Porthmadog - Gresford Athletic	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Llanidloes Town - Porthmadog	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
08.08.23	Porthmadog - Chirk AAA	4:1
18.02.23	Porthmadog - Chirk AAA	0:5
29.08.22	Chirk AAA - Porthmadog	2:1

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